Track Record — Public

Every pick. Every result. No cherry-picking.

Most "picks" accounts delete the losses. Ours are auto-logged the moment the model scores a game and auto-graded the moment it's final — a real result is never deleted or edited. The one exception: a pick can be voided when it was decided by information the model didn't have at pick time (most often a starter's injury reported after the line was set), which excludes it from the win/loss record since it was never a fair test of the model. This is the same real record shown to subscribers on the Model Record page.

Record

85-75

2 pending

Win Rate

53.1%

160 settled

ROI

+13.2%

Units per settled pick

Avg. Edge Taken

+11.9%

205 logged picks

Recent settled picks

Most recent 50

Over 50.5 · CFB

Tennessee Volunteers at South Carolina Gamecocks · total

Edge

9.1%

Units

0.87

win

Alabama Crimson Tide -14.5 · CFB

Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide · spread

Edge

16.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

UCLA Bruins -14 · CFB

Michigan State Spartans at UCLA Bruins · spread

Edge

22.9%

Units

0.89

win

Iowa Hawkeyes -7 · CFB

Iowa Hawkeyes at Minnesota Golden Gophers · spread

Edge

20.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

Texas Tech Red Raiders -10.5 · CFB

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Cincinnati Bearcats · spread

Edge

7.8%

Units

-1.00

loss

Miami Hurricanes -21 · CFB

Pittsburgh Panthers at Miami Hurricanes · spread

Edge

13.4%

Units

0.95

win

Over 41.5 · CFB

Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan Wolverines · total

Edge

4.3%

Units

-1.00

loss

Kentucky Wildcats -10.5 · CFB

Vanderbilt Commodores at Kentucky Wildcats · spread

Edge

27.2%

Units

0.89

win

Northwestern Wildcats -16.5 · CFB

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Northwestern Wildcats · spread

Edge

20.1%

Units

0.93

win

Boise State Broncos -12.5 · CFB

Boise State Broncos at Washington State Cougars · spread

Edge

25.2%

Units

0.91

win

Over 44.5 · CFB

BYU Cougars at UCF Knights · total

Edge

14.0%

Units

0.95

win

Ole Miss Rebels · CFB

Ole Miss Rebels at Texas Longhorns · moneyline

Edge

5.4%

Units

-1.00

loss

Arizona Wildcats -10 · CFB

Iowa State Cyclones at Arizona Wildcats · spread

Edge

9.6%

Units

0.89

win

LSU Tigers -8.5 · CFB

LSU Tigers at Auburn Tigers · spread

Edge

20.7%

Units

0.95

win

SMU Mustangs -19.5 · CFB

California Golden Bears at SMU Mustangs · spread

Edge

15.0%

Units

0.91

win

USC Trojans -3 · CFB

USC Trojans at Wisconsin Badgers · spread

Edge

8.3%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 6.5 · MLB

Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays · total

Edge

3.1%

Units

0.88

win

Over 5.5 · MLB

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · total

Edge

4.7%

Units

1.07

win

Over 5.5 · MLB

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · total

Edge

4.7%

Units

-1.00

loss

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 · MLB

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers · spread

Edge

3.8%

Units

-1.00

loss

Jacksonville Jaguars -3 · NFL

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars · spread

Edge

8.2%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 40.5 · NFL

Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos · total

Edge

12.6%

Units

-1.00

loss

San Francisco 49ers -7.5 · NFL

Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers · spread

Edge

19.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

Under 52.5 · NFL

Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers · total

Edge

11.6%

Units

0.95

win

Over 53.5 · NFL

Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders · total

Edge

9.6%

Units

0.93

win

Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 · NFL

Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs · spread

Edge

18.2%

Units

0.95

win

Los Angeles Rams -12.5 · NFL

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams · spread

Edge

5.6%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 39.5 · NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · total

Edge

11.7%

Units

0.93

win

Over 40.5 · NFL

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles · total

Edge

26.4%

Units

-1.00

loss

Indianapolis Colts -7 · NFL

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts · spread

Edge

19.2%

Units

-1.00

loss

Under 49.5 · NFL

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons · total

Edge

12.4%

Units

-1.00

loss

Under 43.5 · NFL

New York Jets at New England Patriots · total

Edge

14.1%

Units

-1.00

loss

Baltimore Ravens -4.5 · NFL

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns · spread

Edge

25.4%

Units

-1.00

loss

New York Giants +1.5 · NFL

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants · spread

Edge

8.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 6.5 · MLB

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · total

Edge

2.1%

Units

-1.00

loss

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 · MLB

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers · spread

Edge

3.7%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 7 · MLB

Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays · total

Edge

2.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 52.5 · CFB

Florida Gators at Texas Longhorns · total

Edge

12.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

Texas Tech Red Raiders -14.5 · CFB

Arizona State Sun Devils at Texas Tech Red Raiders · spread

Edge

23.3%

Units

0.95

win

SMU Mustangs -8.5 · CFB

Virginia Cavaliers at SMU Mustangs · spread

Edge

19.8%

Units

0.91

win

Utah Utes -15.5 · CFB

Utah Utes at Colorado Buffaloes · spread

Edge

20.6%

Units

-1.00

loss

BYU Cougars · CFB

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at BYU Cougars · moneyline

Edge

8.5%

Units

3.10

win

Houston Cougars -4.5 · CFB

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Houston Cougars · spread

Edge

15.7%

Units

-1.00

loss

Miami Hurricanes -21 · CFB

Florida State Seminoles at Miami Hurricanes · spread

Edge

11.4%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 46.5 · CFB

Wisconsin Badgers at UCLA Bruins · total

Edge

12.2%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 43.5 · CFB

Kentucky Wildcats at Oklahoma Sooners · total

Edge

15.3%

Units

-1.00

loss

Alabama Crimson Tide -7.5 · CFB

Alabama Crimson Tide at Tennessee Volunteers · spread

Edge

14.0%

Units

-1.00

loss

Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 · CFB

Auburn Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs · spread

Edge

15.8%

Units

-1.00

loss

Wake Forest Demon Deacons -9.5 · CFB

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at California Golden Bears · spread

Edge

27.9%

Units

0.89

win

Over 51.5 · CFB

Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana Hoosiers · total

Edge

5.7%

Units

-1.00

loss

Backtest the record

Filter the real settled history below -- every number recomputes from the actual results, nothing simulated.

Sport

Confidence

Market

Record

85-75

162 matching picks

Win Rate

53.1%

160 settled

ROI

+13.2%

Units per settled pick

Avg. Edge Taken

+12.2%

Across matching picks

Over 50.5 · CFB

Tennessee Volunteers at South Carolina Gamecocks · total

Edge

9.1%

Units

0.87

win

Alabama Crimson Tide -14.5 · CFB

Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide · spread

Edge

16.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

UCLA Bruins -14 · CFB

Michigan State Spartans at UCLA Bruins · spread

Edge

22.9%

Units

0.89

win

Iowa Hawkeyes -7 · CFB

Iowa Hawkeyes at Minnesota Golden Gophers · spread

Edge

20.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

Texas Tech Red Raiders -10.5 · CFB

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Cincinnati Bearcats · spread

Edge

7.8%

Units

-1.00

loss

Miami Hurricanes -21 · CFB

Pittsburgh Panthers at Miami Hurricanes · spread

Edge

13.4%

Units

0.95

win

Over 41.5 · CFB

Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan Wolverines · total

Edge

4.3%

Units

-1.00

loss

Kentucky Wildcats -10.5 · CFB

Vanderbilt Commodores at Kentucky Wildcats · spread

Edge

27.2%

Units

0.89

win

Northwestern Wildcats -16.5 · CFB

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Northwestern Wildcats · spread

Edge

20.1%

Units

0.93

win

Boise State Broncos -12.5 · CFB

Boise State Broncos at Washington State Cougars · spread

Edge

25.2%

Units

0.91

win

Over 44.5 · CFB

BYU Cougars at UCF Knights · total

Edge

14.0%

Units

0.95

win

Ole Miss Rebels · CFB

Ole Miss Rebels at Texas Longhorns · moneyline

Edge

5.4%

Units

-1.00

loss

Arizona Wildcats -10 · CFB

Iowa State Cyclones at Arizona Wildcats · spread

Edge

9.6%

Units

0.89

win

LSU Tigers -8.5 · CFB

LSU Tigers at Auburn Tigers · spread

Edge

20.7%

Units

0.95

win

SMU Mustangs -19.5 · CFB

California Golden Bears at SMU Mustangs · spread

Edge

15.0%

Units

0.91

win

USC Trojans -3 · CFB

USC Trojans at Wisconsin Badgers · spread

Edge

8.3%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 6.5 · MLB

Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays · total

Edge

3.1%

Units

0.88

win

Over 5.5 · MLB

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · total

Edge

4.7%

Units

1.07

win

Over 5.5 · MLB

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · total

Edge

4.7%

Units

-1.00

loss

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 · MLB

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers · spread

Edge

3.8%

Units

-1.00

loss

Jacksonville Jaguars -3 · NFL

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars · spread

Edge

8.2%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 40.5 · NFL

Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos · total

Edge

12.6%

Units

-1.00

loss

San Francisco 49ers -7.5 · NFL

Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers · spread

Edge

19.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

Under 52.5 · NFL

Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers · total

Edge

11.6%

Units

0.95

win

Over 53.5 · NFL

Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders · total

Edge

9.6%

Units

0.93

win

Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 · NFL

Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs · spread

Edge

18.2%

Units

0.95

win

Los Angeles Rams -12.5 · NFL

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams · spread

Edge

5.6%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 39.5 · NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · total

Edge

11.7%

Units

0.93

win

Over 40.5 · NFL

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles · total

Edge

26.4%

Units

-1.00

loss

Indianapolis Colts -7 · NFL

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts · spread

Edge

19.2%

Units

-1.00

loss

Under 49.5 · NFL

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons · total

Edge

12.4%

Units

-1.00

loss

Under 43.5 · NFL

New York Jets at New England Patriots · total

Edge

14.1%

Units

-1.00

loss

Baltimore Ravens -4.5 · NFL

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns · spread

Edge

25.4%

Units

-1.00

loss

New York Giants +1.5 · NFL

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants · spread

Edge

8.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 6.5 · MLB

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · total

Edge

2.1%

Units

-1.00

loss

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 · MLB

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers · spread

Edge

3.7%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 7 · MLB

Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays · total

Edge

2.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 52.5 · CFB

Florida Gators at Texas Longhorns · total

Edge

12.9%

Units

-1.00

loss

Texas Tech Red Raiders -14.5 · CFB

Arizona State Sun Devils at Texas Tech Red Raiders · spread

Edge

23.3%

Units

0.95

win

SMU Mustangs -8.5 · CFB

Virginia Cavaliers at SMU Mustangs · spread

Edge

19.8%

Units

0.91

win

Utah Utes -15.5 · CFB

Utah Utes at Colorado Buffaloes · spread

Edge

20.6%

Units

-1.00

loss

BYU Cougars · CFB

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at BYU Cougars · moneyline

Edge

8.5%

Units

3.10

win

Houston Cougars -4.5 · CFB

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Houston Cougars · spread

Edge

15.7%

Units

-1.00

loss

Miami Hurricanes -21 · CFB

Florida State Seminoles at Miami Hurricanes · spread

Edge

11.4%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 46.5 · CFB

Wisconsin Badgers at UCLA Bruins · total

Edge

12.2%

Units

-1.00

loss

Over 43.5 · CFB

Kentucky Wildcats at Oklahoma Sooners · total

Edge

15.3%

Units

-1.00

loss

Alabama Crimson Tide -7.5 · CFB

Alabama Crimson Tide at Tennessee Volunteers · spread

Edge

14.0%

Units

-1.00

loss

Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 · CFB

Auburn Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs · spread

Edge

15.8%

Units

-1.00

loss

Wake Forest Demon Deacons -9.5 · CFB

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at California Golden Bears · spread

Edge

27.9%

Units

0.89

win

Over 51.5 · CFB

Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana Hoosiers · total

Edge

5.7%

Units

-1.00

loss

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